62 Unemployment and Underemployment
This chapter takes up unemployment and underemployment — the two faces of labour-market slack. Open unemployment dominates Western policy debate; underemployment dominates the Indian story.
62.1 What is Unemployment?
A person is unemployed when she is currently without work, available for work, and actively seeking work. The ILO definition has three elements:
| Condition | What it requires |
|---|---|
| Without work | Not in paid employment or self-employment |
| Currently available for work | Could begin within a reference period |
| Seeking work | Has taken specific steps to find work |
The Unemployment Rate is computed as:
UR = (Number of Unemployed / Labour Force) × 100
62.2 Types of Unemployment
| Type | What it covers |
|---|---|
| Frictional | Temporary unemployment between jobs; healthy in a dynamic economy |
| Seasonal | Unemployment in seasons of low activity (agriculture in dry months) |
| Cyclical | Demand-deficient unemployment during recessions |
| Structural | Mismatch between skills demanded and skills available |
| Technological | Automation eliminates specific jobs |
| Frictional / search | Time taken to find right match |
| Disguised | Persons appear employed but contribute little to output (common in family farms) |
| Open | Visibly out of work |
| Voluntary | Person chooses not to work at prevailing wage |
| Involuntary | Person willing to work at prevailing wage but unable |
62.2.1 Distinctively Indian Categories
Indian labour-market analysis adds:
- Disguised unemployment — too many workers in family farms; marginal product near zero. The Lewis model of dual economies built on this concept.
- Underemployment — workers employed for fewer hours than they wish or below their skill level.
- Educated unemployment — graduates without jobs matching their qualifications.
62.3 Underemployment
Underemployment has three forms:
| Form | Definition |
|---|---|
| Time-related underemployment | Working fewer hours than desired and available for more |
| Skill / qualification mismatch | Working below one’s skill or education |
| Income underemployment | Earnings below subsistence despite working |
In India, time-related underemployment (especially in rural agriculture) and skill mismatch (in graduate labour markets) are the dominant forms.
62.4 Measuring Unemployment in India — Three PLFS Statuses
PLFS uses three reference statuses to measure unemployment.
| Status | Reference period | Captures |
|---|---|---|
| Usual Status | 365 days | Long-term, chronic unemployment |
| Current Weekly Status (CWS) | 7 days | Short-term, weekly unemployment |
| Current Daily Status (CDS) | Each day of past 7 days | Day-by-day; captures intensity, including underemployment |
CDS unemployment is typically higher than CWS, which is higher than US — reflecting underemployment captured by the day-level measure.
62.5 Indian Unemployment — Recent Numbers
| Indicator | All | Male | Female |
|---|---|---|---|
| Overall UR (15+) | ~3.2% | ~3.2% | ~3.2% |
| Youth UR (15-29) | ~10.2% | ~9.4% | ~12.0% |
| Educated UR (graduate+) | ~13% | ~11% | ~17% |
| Urban UR (15+) | ~5.5% | ~4.4% | ~8.5% |
| Rural UR (15+) | ~2.5% | ~2.7% | ~2.1% |
The CMIE high-frequency series typically reports unemployment in the 7-9% range — a substantial difference attributed to methodology, especially treatment of casual and self-employed workers.
62.6 Causes of Unemployment in India
| Cause | Mechanism |
|---|---|
| Slow labour-intensive industrialisation | Manufacturing absorbs less labour than expected |
| Skills mismatch | Education and training not aligned with demand |
| Labour-market rigidities | Some statutory provisions discourage hiring |
| Demographic pressure | 12 million new entrants per year |
| Capital-intensive growth | High productivity growth reducing jobs per unit of output |
| Regional imbalance | Concentration of jobs in a few states |
| Low female LFPR | Untapped potential workforce |
| Informalisation | Quality of jobs deteriorating |
62.7 Consequences of Unemployment
| Layer | Consequences |
|---|---|
| Individual | Loss of income, dignity, skills (atrophy); mental-health impact |
| Family | Poverty, indebtedness, withdrawal of children from school |
| Society | Inequality, crime, social unrest, migration pressures |
| Economy | Lost output, reduced demand, lower tax revenue, fiscal pressure for support |
| Political | Discontent, instability, anti-incumbency |
62.8 Government Programmes to Address Unemployment
| Programme | Approach |
|---|---|
| MGNREGA, 2005 | Right to 100 days’ rural wage employment |
| National Skill Development Mission | Skill-training for employability |
| Pradhan Mantri Kaushal Vikas Yojana (PMKVY) | Skill training |
| Atma Nirbhar Bharat Rozgar Yojana | Employer subsidy for new hires |
| Production Linked Incentive (PLI) schemes | Encourages labour-intensive manufacturing |
| Self-employment schemes (PMEGP, MUDRA, Stand-up India) | Credit for micro-enterprises |
| National Career Service portal | Job-matching |
| Apprenticeship programmes | NAPS — wage subsidy for apprentice training |
62.9 Lewis Dual-Economy Model
W. Arthur Lewis’s 1954 model — Economic Development with Unlimited Supplies of Labour — argued that developing economies have a traditional sector with surplus labour (disguised unemployment) and a modern sector with productive employment. Growth depends on transferring labour from traditional to modern sector. The model anchors much of Indian planning literature.
62.10 Unemployment Theories
| Theory | Lead author | Core claim |
|---|---|---|
| Classical | A. Marshall | Wages above market-clearing cause unemployment |
| Keynesian | J.M. Keynes | Demand deficiency causes involuntary unemployment |
| Monetarist | M. Friedman | Natural rate of unemployment; deviations from it are temporary |
| Real business cycle | Kydland & Prescott | Unemployment reflects real shocks |
| Search and matching | Diamond, Mortensen, Pissarides | Frictional unemployment from time taken to match worker and job |
| Insider-outsider | Lindbeck, Snower | Insiders raise wages; outsiders bear unemployment cost |
62.11 Practice Questions
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| Type | Cause | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| (i) | Frictional | (a) | Demand deficiency |
| (ii) | Structural | (b) | Time between jobs |
| (iii) | Cyclical | (c) | Skills mismatch |
| (iv) | Seasonal | (d) | Off-season activity |
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- Unemployment = without work + available + seeking (ILO).
- Types: frictional, seasonal, cyclical, structural, technological, disguised, open, voluntary / involuntary.
- Underemployment forms: time-related, skill mismatch, income.
- PLFS statuses: Usual Status (365 days), Current Weekly Status (7 days), Current Daily Status.
- India UR (PLFS 2023-24): ~3.2% overall; youth ~10%; educated ~13%; urban-female ~8.5%.
- CMIE shows higher UR (~7-9%); methodology differs.
- Causes: slow industrialisation, skills mismatch, demographic pressure, capital-intensive growth, regional imbalance, low female LFPR.
- Programmes: MGNREGA, PMKVY, ABRY, PLI, MUDRA, NAPS.
- Lewis dual-economy model (1954) — surplus labour transfer from traditional to modern.
- Theories: classical, Keynesian, monetarist, RBC, search-matching, insider-outsider.